The market desk · model vs. consensus
This week’s calls, league-wide.
Calls are our own forward-looking outlook, then say what to actually do — buy the riser, shop only if someone overpays, or sell into name value. Read the methodology. By position: QBRBWRTE
Values updated: Aug 25, 2026Format: Superflex · Full PPR · No TE premium
Neutral
Bijan Robinson RB · ATL
On Bijan Robinson at 100, the production profile (99.2/100) is doing the heavy lifting.
100
model value
Neutral
Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN
Ja'Marr Chase (age 26): he's a genuine win-now piece (96.6/100). He grades 93.9.
93.9
model value
Bullish
Ashton Jeanty RB · LV
Ashton Jeanty: a locked-in role (92.8/100 role security) underpins the value. Backfield churn makes timing the sale (or buy) matter more than the label.
90.5
model value
Bullish
Drake Maye QB · NE
We're bullish on Drake Maye: a locked-in role (92.4/100 role security) underpins the value. Quarterback scarcity still supports a premium ask in Superflex.
88.9
model value
Neutral
Jahmyr Gibbs RB · DET
Jahmyr Gibbs (age 24): the production profile (98.3/100) is doing the heavy lifting. He grades 88.8.
88.8
model value
Neutral
Jonathan Taylor RB · IND
Jonathan Taylor sits at 85.9 and the arrow is flat — the production profile (97.2/100) is doing the heavy lifting.
85.9
model value
Bullish
Caleb Williams QB · CHI
Caleb Williams is a buy window: a locked-in role (92.8/100 role security) underpins the value, and the arrow points up from 84.7.
84.7
model value
Neutral
Chris Olave WR · NO
Chris Olave: a locked-in role (90.1/100 role security) underpins the value. Trend is quiet; lean on the profile, not the noise.
84.5
model value
Neutral
Josh Allen QB · BUF
Josh Allen — a locked-in role (92.7/100 role security) underpins the value, but the age curve says the production window is closer to its end than its start. Trust the profile, not the chatter.
84.1
model value
Neutral
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR · DET
Amon-Ra St. Brown: he's a genuine win-now piece (93.9/100). Trend is quiet; lean on the profile, not the noise.
83.3
model value
Bullish
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR · SEA
We expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to outgrow 83.1 — he's a genuine win-now piece (97.6/100).
83.1
model value
Bullish
Trevor Lawrence QB · JAX
Trevor Lawrence — a locked-in role (92.7/100 role security) underpins the value. Trust the profile, not the chatter.
83
model value
Bullish
Malik Nabers WR · NYG
On Malik Nabers at 82.2, a locked-in role (87.5/100 role security) underpins the value.
82.2
model value
Neutral
Drake London WR · ATL
Drake London grades 79.1, and a locked-in role (92.8/100 role security) underpins the value.
79.1
model value
Bullish
Jeremiyah Love RB · ARI
On Jeremiyah Love at 77.3, a locked-in role (92.8/100 role security) underpins the value.
77.3
model value
Neutral
Patrick Mahomes QB · KC
Patrick Mahomes: a locked-in role (92.5/100 role security) underpins the value, but the age curve says the production window is closer to its end than its start. Trend is quiet; lean on the profile, not the noise.
77.1
model value
Bullish
Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR
Tetairoa McMillan: a locked-in role (91.6/100 role security) underpins the value. Trend is quiet; lean on the profile, not the noise.
76.5
model value
Bullish
Carnell Tate WR · TEN
Carnell Tate grades 76.3, and a locked-in role (92.8/100 role security) underpins the value.
76.3
model value
Bullish
Jayden Daniels QB · WAS
Go get Jayden Daniels. a locked-in role (89.8/100 role security) underpins the value, and the profile is still appreciating.
75.5
model value
Neutral
Garrett Wilson WR · NYJ
Garrett Wilson: hold. a locked-in role (92.3/100 role security) underpins the value. Receiver depth is deep — price discipline matters more than name heat.
75.1
model value
Neutral
De'Von Achane RB · MIA
De'Von Achane grades 74.6, and the production profile (92.6/100) is doing the heavy lifting.
74.6
model value
Neutral
Jalen Hurts QB · PHI
On Jalen Hurts at 73.7, a locked-in role (92.7/100 role security) underpins the value.
73.7
model value
Bullish
Marvin Harrison WR · ARI
Marvin Harrison: the long-horizon fit is strong (rebuild score 79.1/100) (the catch: production (44/100) hasn't matched the name value). Trend is quiet; lean on the profile, not the noise.
68.1
model value
Bullish
Rome Odunze WR · CHI
Rome Odunze (age 24): the long-horizon fit is strong (rebuild score 80.5/100). He grades 66.8.
66.8
model value
Bearish
Terry McLaurin WR · WAS
Terry McLaurin: the age curve says the production window is closer to its end than its start, even though the risk profile is clean (22.5/100). Receiver depth is deep — price discipline matters more than name heat.
45.1
model value
Bearish
Deebo Samuel WR · SF
Deebo Samuel (age 30): the age curve says the production window is closer to its end than its start, even though the risk profile is clean (22.3/100). He grades 42.6.
42.6
model value
Bearish
J.K. Dobbins RB · DEN
On J.K. Dobbins at 40.1, the profile is ordinary everywhere the name value says it shouldn't be.
40.1
model value
Bearish
Brandon Aiyuk WR · SF
Brandon Aiyuk: production (40.3/100) hasn't matched the name value, even though the risk profile is clean (19/100). Receiver depth is deep — price discipline matters more than name heat.
38.9
model value
Bearish
Jaylen Warren RB · PIT
Jaylen Warren — the profile is ordinary everywhere the name value says it shouldn't be. Trust the profile, not the chatter.
37.3
model value
Bearish
Chris Godwin WR · TB
Chris Godwin grades 36.5, and production (37.7/100) hasn't matched the name value, even though the risk profile is clean (22.4/100).
36.5
model value
Bearish
Tyrone Tracy RB · NYG
Tyrone Tracy grades 35.6, and the risk profile is clean (20.7/100), but that is not enough to carry the profile.
35.6
model value
Bearish
Rico Dowdle RB · PIT
Rico Dowdle (age 28): the profile is ordinary everywhere the name value says it shouldn't be. He grades 35.3.
35.3
model value
Bearish
Kenny Gainwell RB · TB
Kenny Gainwell (age 27): the profile is ordinary everywhere the name value says it shouldn't be. He grades 34.9.
34.9
model value
Bearish
Stefon Diggs WR · WAS
Stefon Diggs (age 32) is heading the wrong way — the age curve says the production window is closer to its end than its start. Receiver depth is deep — price discipline matters more than name heat.
34.8
model value
Bearish
Chuba Hubbard RB · CAR
Bearish on Chuba Hubbard: production (39.1/100) hasn't matched the name value. Move him while the return is there.
33
model value
Bearish
Darius Slayton WR · NYG
Darius Slayton — production (28.3/100) hasn't matched the name value, even though the risk profile is clean (21/100). Trust the profile, not the chatter.
31.1
model value
These are the league-wide calls.
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